It seems like Obama/Biden will win this thing.
The Electoral Vote websites report:
Obama 348 vs. McCain 190 FiveThirtyEight:
Obama 343 vs. McCain 195 Electoral-Vote:
Obama 353 vs. McCain 185 Politico:
Obama 353 vs. McCain 185 RealClearPolitics
A candidate needs 270 EV to win.
Therefore, unless Obama is caught in bed with woman or a man before November 4th - and the woman will have to be dead - is appears, according to the polls, he's be the next President.
Two reasons why the polls may be off:
1) The polls only include voters with landlines, and approximately 20% of voter between the age of 19 and 29 don't have landlines, only cell phones. The majority will probably vote for Obama, since he seems to have the youth vote.
2) An the other hand, some white voters will not admit to a pollster that they are unwilling to vote for a black candidate. McCain will clearly benefit from these voters.
The race isn't over until it's over.
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