The probability of Obama winning 98%.
The probability of McCain winning 2%
The race was over last week. All is left is the News Media trying to "make" News at this point.
The real question is by how much is Obama going to win? And how many House and Senate seats the Democrats are going to pick up.
It does appear that Obama lost some states like NC, MO and IN during the last couple of weeks, due to the "Joe the Plumber" push from the McCain campaign.
Here's the predictions:
FiveThirtyEight: Obama 349 vs. McCain 189
Electoral Vote: Obama 353 vs. McCain 185
Real Clear Politics Obama 338 vs. McCain 200
Politico Obama 338 vs. McCain 200
All a candidate needs is 270 electoral votes. Unless every poll is wrong. Obama has already won.
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