Nate Silver, our stats geek hero for his freakishly accurate calling of the 2008 election, has turned his superpowers on this Sunday's Oscars. His picks:
Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger......................85.8%
Supporting Actress
Taraji P. Henson.................51.0%
Lead Actor
Mickey Rourke...................71.1%
Lead Actress
Kate Winslet.......................67.6%
Best Director
Danny Boyle,
Slumdog Millionaire...........99.7%
Best Picture
Slumdog Millionaire..........99.0%
I completely agree with these predictions, except for Supporting Actress. My prediction would be: Penelope Cruz.
Nate Silvers analysis exemplifies the power of data and computing statistics. It makes the human mind appear inferior.
And lastly, even though I generally keep up with the Oscar race. I never watch a minute of the ceremony. It's always incredible boring and a complete waste of time.
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